Houston vs Memphis 10/30/2010

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Houston is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Memphis. David Piland is averaging 274 passing yards and 2.23 TDs per simulation and Bryce Beall is projected for 103 rushing yards and a 83% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Memphis wins, Ryan Williams averages 2.17 TD passes vs 0.78 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.15 TDs to 1.02 interceptions. Jerrell Rhodes averages 94 rushing yards and 0.95 rushing TDs when Memphis wins and 80 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. Houston has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM +13.5

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